empty
07.04.2025 06:52 PM
XAU/USD. Analysis and Forecast

This image is no longer relevant

At the moment, gold has halted its corrective decline from the all-time high reached last week.

The recent plunge in global financial markets, triggered by the mutual tariffs initiated by U.S. President Donald Trump, is providing support to the safe-haven metal. Trump imposed tariffs of at least 10% on all imported goods, with China being hit especially hard by 54% duties. In response, China's Ministry of Commerce announced additional tariffs of 34% on all imports from the U.S. U.S. Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick confirmed that the tariffs will not be postponed and will remain in effect in the coming days and weeks. Trump also stated that there would be no deal with China unless the trade deficit is resolved.

In addition, it was reported today that the People's Bank of China has increased its official gold reserves for the fifth consecutive month, which is also supporting investor interest in gold bullion.

The ongoing risk-off sentiment and expectations that the U.S. economic slowdown—triggered by the tariffs—could prompt the Federal Reserve to resume its rate-cutting cycle earlier than anticipated, are contributing to a decline in U.S. Treasury yields. This, in turn, is weakening the dollar, which has been unable to recover from its multi-month lows.

This image is no longer relevant

Persisting geopolitical risks are also increasing the appeal of gold. However, traders continue to liquidate their long positions to cover losses elsewhere, which in turn is capping gold's price growth and calls for some caution.

From a technical standpoint, the sharp decline in gold from its all-time high has stalled near the $2957 level, which previously served as a breakout point. The subsequent upward move has been capped at resistance near $3057, which has now become a key level—its breakout would pave the way toward the $3080 level, on the path back to the record high.

On the other hand, the psychological level of $3000 is acting as the first line of defense against an immediate drop, ahead of the $2980–2967 level or the low of the current correction. If this level is breached, the short-term bias will shift in favor of the bears, potentially triggering a deeper decline toward the 50-day simple moving average (SMA) and beyond.

It is also worth noting that the RSI (Relative Strength Index) is losing momentum.

Recommended Stories

GBP/JPY. Analisis dan Prediksi

Setelah rilis data inflasi konsumen Inggris yang melebihi ekspektasi, pasangan GBP/JPY sedikit mengurangi kerugian intraday-nya. Namun, pasangan ini gagal menarik minat beli yang signifikan, sebagian karena penguatan yen Jepang. Menurut

Irina Yanina 11:25 2025-05-21 UTC+2

Apakah Bank Sentral Global Akan Terus Memangkas Suku Bunga? (Bitcoin Mungkin Melanjutkan Pertumbuhan dan USD/JPY Mungkin Menurun)

Di antara negara-negara yang secara ekonomi maju—yang termasuk dalam sayap Barat dari ekonomi global—ada aturan penting: target inflasi sebesar 2%, khususnya inflasi konsumen. Mencapai target ini bukan hanya tujuan tetapi

Pati Gani 09:46 2025-05-21 UTC+2

Pasar: Hidup atau Mati!

Pasar dapat tetap tidak rasional lebih lama daripada Anda dapat tetap solvent. Kenaikan S&P 500 dari posisi terendah April—menambah $8,6 triliun dalam kapitalisasi pasar—sering kali tampak tidak rasional. Para investor

Marek Petkovich 08:23 2025-05-21 UTC+2

Gambaran Umum GBP/USD – 21 Mei: Perjalanan Naik Turun Berlanjut

Pada hari Selasa, pasangan mata uang GBP/USD mengalami penurunan, berbeda dengan hari Senin. Sementara pergerakan euro perlu mencari alasan di balik penurunan dolar, gambaran teknikal saat ini untuk pound cukup

Paolo Greco 07:46 2025-05-21 UTC+2

Gambaran Umum EUR/USD – 21 Mei: Teater Kekacauan dan Absurditas Berlanjut

Pada hari Selasa, pasangan mata uang EUR/USD bergerak lamban, yang tidak mengejutkan mengingat tidak adanya berita. Senin juga tidak membawa banyak berita penting, namun pasar menyoroti penurunan peringkat kredit

Paolo Greco 07:46 2025-05-21 UTC+2

Apa yang Perlu Diperhatikan pada 21 Mei? Rincian Peristiwa Fundamental untuk Pemula

Sangat sedikit peristiwa makroekonomi yang dijadwalkan pada hari Rabu. Namun, laporan inflasi Inggris memiliki arti penting bagi pasar, atau lebih tepatnya, dulu . Seperti yang kita lihat, para trader terus

Paolo Greco 06:45 2025-05-21 UTC+2

The Fed Mempertahankan Pendekatan Tunggu dan Lihat

Pasar mengharapkan langkah aktif dari bank sentral AS, sementara Donald Trump terus menuntut agar Jerome Powell menurunkan suku bunga. Perlu dicatat bahwa Powell tidak dapat membuat keputusan semacam itu secara

Chin Zhao 00:41 2025-05-21 UTC+2

Dolar Kembali Menguat

Seperti yang ditunjukkan dalam laporan CFTC, para investor masih belum terlalu terkesan bahwa AS dan Tiongkok telah berhasil mengurangi ketegangan perdagangan dan mengambil jeda untuk negosiasi - posisi short gabungan

Kuvat Raharjo 00:26 2025-05-21 UTC+2

EUR/USD: Dolar Lemah Bertemu Euro yang Tidak Pasti

Pada pasangan EUR/USD, telah terjadi konsolidasi di atas level 1,1200, mencerminkan pelemahan keseluruhan dolar AS. "Serangan bearish" yang kita saksikan minggu lalu berakhir dengan kegagalan. Penjual EUR/USD tidak mampu bertahan

Irina Manzenko 19:35 2025-05-20 UTC+2

Euro Kehabisan Momentum Bullish

Inflasi di zona euro pada bulan April tidak berubah dibandingkan dengan Maret, sepenuhnya sesuai dengan prediksi—2,2% yoy untuk indeks utama, dan 2,7% yoy untuk indeks inti. Stabilitas inflasi ini umumnya

Kuvat Raharjo 19:16 2025-05-20 UTC+2
Tidak bisa bicara sekarang?
Tanyakan pertanyaan anda lewat chat.
 

Dear visitor,

Your IP address shows that you are currently located in the USA. If you are a resident of the United States, you are prohibited from using the services of InstaFintech Group including online trading, online transfers, deposit/withdrawal of funds, etc.

If you think you are seeing this message by mistake and your location is not the US, kindly proceed to the website. Otherwise, you must leave the website in order to comply with government restrictions.

Why does your IP address show your location as the USA?

  • - you are using a VPN provided by a hosting company based in the United States;
  • - your IP does not have proper WHOIS records;
  • - an error occurred in the WHOIS geolocation database.

Please confirm whether you are a US resident or not by clicking the relevant button below. If you choose the wrong option, being a US resident, you will not be able to open an account with InstaTrade anyway.

We are sorry for any inconvenience caused by this message.