empty
17.04.2025 12:00 PM
XAU/USD: Analysis and Forecast

This image is no longer relevant

Gold is undergoing a corrective pullback today as traders take profits following its recent surge to a new all-time high. This decline, although moderate, is driven by several factors, including improved risk sentiment supported by renewed optimism over U.S. trade negotiations and a strengthening U.S. dollar.

This image is no longer relevant

Profit-taking is placing additional downward pressure on gold prices. March retail sales in the U.S. surged by 1.4%—the highest monthly gain in two years. This upbeat figure, which exceeded market expectations and followed a revised 0.2% increase in the previous month, points to a recovery in consumer demand.

However, as Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell noted, the central bank does not plan to lower interest rates anytime soon due to potential inflationary pressures linked to current tariff policies. This outlook presents further headwinds for gold's continued rally.

Nonetheless, the U.S.-China trade war remains a key concern. Escalating tariffs and new export restrictions—such as licensing requirements on rare earth metals and semiconductor chips—continue to inject uncertainty into the global market, which in turn sustains demand for gold as a safe-haven asset.

Investors should also pay attention to today's U.S. economic data, including weekly jobless claims and the Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index, due during the U.S. trading session. These figures could provide traders with fresh opportunities to adjust their strategies in a shifting market landscape.

From a technical standpoint, current overbought conditions reflected in the Relative Strength Index (RSI) suggest the need for consolidation or a pullback. This creates an opportunity for new bullish positions—particularly if the price holds steady near the key $3,300 level. However, a break below this threshold could trigger deeper losses.

Irina Yanina,
Analytical expert of InstaTrade
© 2007-2025

Recommended Stories

The Market Took a Step Back

The longest winning streak of the S&P 500 in two decades has come to an end. But who's responsible? The Federal Reserve, which plans to keep rates unchanged

Marek Petkovich 10:16 2025-05-06 UTC+2

Markets Anxiously Await the Fed's Monetary Policy Meeting (Potential for Renewed Growth in Bitcoin and #NDX)

Markets remain tense. The U.S. Dollar Index and the cryptocurrency market are stagnating, caught between opposing forces. Investors are tensely awaiting the outcome of the Federal Reserve's monetary policy meeting

Pati Gani 10:02 2025-05-06 UTC+2

GBP/USD Overview – May 6: Trump Goes After the Film Industry

The GBP/USD currency pair traded upward during the first half of Monday and downward during the second half. While the U.S. dollar didn't lose much this time, its brief attempt

Paolo Greco 07:04 2025-05-06 UTC+2

EUR/USD Overview – May 6: The Protest Against Donald Trump Continues

The EUR/USD currency pair began a new upward cycle on Monday. At this point, no one is likely surprised by another drop in the U.S. dollar. The market started selling

Paolo Greco 07:04 2025-05-06 UTC+2

What to Pay Attention to on May 6? A Breakdown of Fundamental Events for Beginners

There are very few macroeconomic events scheduled for Tuesday. In the Eurozone and Germany, the second estimate of April's services PMI will be published, but these are unlikely to attract

Paolo Greco 05:49 2025-05-06 UTC+2

Fed Rate Cut Probability Is Near Zero

This week marks the third Federal Reserve meeting of the year. At the first two meetings, monetary policy parameters remained unchanged, and there is virtually no chance of a rate

Chin Zhao 00:50 2025-05-06 UTC+2

The Dollar Sell-Off Shows No Signs of Slowing Down

The latest CFTC report reveals that the dollar sell-off continues unabated. Weekly changes against major currencies amounted to -$3.1 billion, bringing the total accumulated short position to -$17.1 billion

Kuvat Raharjo 00:50 2025-05-06 UTC+2

GBP/USD. The Pound and Politics

The pound reacted negatively to the results of the local elections in the UK, where the right-wing Reform UK party secured a convincing victory in many districts. However, the British

Irina Manzenko 00:50 2025-05-06 UTC+2

XAU/USD. Analysis and Forecast

Gold continues to show resilience, climbing above the key psychological level of $3300. Geopolitical tensions stemming from the prolonged Russia–Ukraine conflict and escalating hostilities in the Middle East continue

Irina Yanina 17:45 2025-05-05 UTC+2

USD/CHF: Analysis and Forecast

The USD/CHF pair remains under pressure at the start of the new week, attracting sellers for the second day in a row, weighed down by several factors. However, spot prices

Irina Yanina 17:35 2025-05-05 UTC+2
Can't speak right now?
Ask your question in the chat.
 

Dear visitor,

Your IP address shows that you are currently located in the USA. If you are a resident of the United States, you are prohibited from using the services of InstaFintech Group including online trading, online transfers, deposit/withdrawal of funds, etc.

If you think you are seeing this message by mistake and your location is not the US, kindly proceed to the website. Otherwise, you must leave the website in order to comply with government restrictions.

Why does your IP address show your location as the USA?

  • - you are using a VPN provided by a hosting company based in the United States;
  • - your IP does not have proper WHOIS records;
  • - an error occurred in the WHOIS geolocation database.

Please confirm whether you are a US resident or not by clicking the relevant button below. If you choose the wrong option, being a US resident, you will not be able to open an account with InstaTrade anyway.

We are sorry for any inconvenience caused by this message.