17.04.2025 12:00 PM
黃金今日正經歷一波修正性回調，這是因為交易者在其最近飆升至歷史新高後選擇獲利了結。雖然這次下跌幅度不大，但由多個因素推動，其中包括因美國貿易談判重燃樂觀情緒和美元走強而得到改善的風險情緒。
獲利了結對金價施加了額外的下行壓力。美國3月份零售銷售猛增1.4%，創下兩年來的最大單月升幅。這一樂觀數據超過了市場預期，並且在上月經修正的0.2%增幅後進一步顯示出消費需求的回升。
然而，美聯儲主席 Jerome Powell 指出，鑑於當前的關稅政策可能帶來的通脹壓力，央行近期內不打算降息。這種前景為黃金的持續上漲構成進一步阻力。
儘管如此，美中貿易戰仍然是一個主要關切。關稅升級以及新的出口限制，例如對稀土金屬和半導體芯片的許可要求，繼續給全球市場帶來不確定性，因此持續支撐了黃金作為避險資產的需求。
投資者還應關注今天的美國經濟數據，包括在美國交易時段公布的每週失業救濟申請和費城聯儲製造業指數。這些數據可能為交易者在不斷變化的市場環境中調整策略提供新的機會。
從技術角度來看，反映在相對強弱指數（RSI）上的當前超買狀況顯示需要整固或回調。這為新的看漲頭寸創造了機會——特別是在價格穩定在關鍵的3,300美元水平附近時。然而，若跌破該閾值，可能會引發更深的損失。
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