日元在前一天大幅下跌,原因是有关貿易戰暫停90天的意外消息。這一發展支持了美元,但其增長是否會持續仍不確定。預計今天公佈的美國消費者通脹數據將顯示3月份的增速放緩。如果得到證實,這對可能會急劇下降,因為這將強化美聯儲今年至少降息一次的預期。同時,日本央行傾向於加息。這表明利率政策之間的差異在增大。
從技術角度來看,該匯率在144.20至148.00的寬幅範圍內波動。鑑於今天的美國消息,它可能會降至這一範圍的下邊界。
我認為該貨幣對可能會下降至144.20。潛在的入場點在146.38。
昨日來自德國的數據超出預期。三月份的工業生產增加了3.0%,而此前預測為0.9%,二月份則下降了1.3%。
預計歐元/英鎊貨幣對將逆轉其下行趨勢並開始上漲。自4月11日以來的楔形下降顯然具有調整結構,並且這一下行走勢已顯示出首次疲軟和觸底的跡象。
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