截至週二收盤歐元上漲了45個點,而在今天的太平洋交易時段,大約增長了相同的幅度,逼近1.1027的目標水準。如果突破阻力價位,價格可能會瞄準1.1110/50區間。然而,那裡可能存在空頭陷阱。原因是大宗商品和股票指數持續大幅下跌,歐元可能無法承受這種壓力。昨日,油價下跌了2.16%,而標普500指數則下跌了1.57%。
若匯率能鞏固於1.1110/50區間之上,再加上股市及石油市場的修正性回升,歐元可能進一步上升至1.1276目標位。
另一種情況是,若歐元走低至1.0762,但這需要匯率先鞏固於1.0955水平之下。
在H4圖表上,Marlin振盪器已及時進入正區域,這表示價格需要支撐才能突破1.1027的阻力位。一旦價格穩定在此水平之上,可能會謹慎地向目標區域推進。
週三,歐元/美元組合繼續上漲,並穩固在1.1320的50.0%斐波那契回檔位之上。因此,歐元可能繼續升值,走向下一個阻力區1.1374–1.1380。
從美元/瑞士法郎(USD/CHF)主要貨幣對的4小時圖表中,我們可以看到一些有趣的信息,首先是USD/CHF的價格走勢與隨機指標(Stochastic Oscillator)之間出現了背離,其次出現了看跌123形態,隨後伴隨著幾個看跌的羅斯鉤。基於這些數據,我們可以看出USD/CHF目前仍受到賣方的壓力,即便有加強修正的潛力,但只要未突破並收於0.8365關口之上,USD/CHF將繼續走弱至0.8185作為其主要目標,及0.8085作為下一目標。
周三,歐元成功穩定於1.1266水平和均衡指標線之上。下一個目標水平是1.1420和1.1535。
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