07.02.2025 03:07 PM
在國際貨幣基金組織（IMF）謹慎評論之後，日元兌美元繼續出現小幅的日內下跌。然而，由於外界預期日本央行（BoJ）將繼續緊縮其貨幣政策，這一跌幅仍然受到限制。
日本央行高層官員最近的聲明顯示出堅定的加息承諾，這可能縮小與包括美聯儲在內的主要央行的利差。這為日元提供了支持，防止出現更大的下跌。
儘管如此，美元表現疲弱，阻止了美元/日元兌150.00以下水平的反彈，該水平是自12月10日以來的最低點。交易員保持謹慎，等待美國非農就業報告（NFP）的發布，該報告預計將影響市場走向。
跌破152.60點處100天及200天簡單移動平均線（SMA）匯聚處，已成為主要的看跌信號。日線圖上的振盪器仍然深陷負區，暗示進一步下行的潛力。任何上升趨勢可能被視作賣出機會，預計阻力位在152.00的心理水準附近。如果價格繼續上升，下一個關鍵阻力將是152.60，然後是153.00的整數關口。
另一方面，151.00現在充當即時支撐。跌破151.00可能會導致進一步下跌至150.55–150.50，然後是具有關鍵心理意義的150.00。如果價格跌破150.00，可能進一步下跌至149.60，然後可能測試149.00及12月的低點附近148.65。
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