On Wednesday, the macroeconomic calendar remained empty, with no important statistical data published in the European Union, the United Kingdom, or the United States. However, within the context of the information flow, there was a speech by the Vice-President of the European Central Bank (ECB), Luis de Guindos. In his address, he almost directly stated that the regulator would be one of the first to begin easing its monetary policy. This statement garnered significant interest, but the market reacted to it cautiously.
Despite the euro's appreciation against the dollar, the quote ended the previous day within the confines of recent stagnation.
The GBP/USD currency pair demonstrated an upward dynamic, based on which the price nearly reached the upper limit of the lateral channel 1.2600/1.2800.
Today is a key day in terms of the macroeconomic calendar, as inflation data in the United States is expected to be published. According to forecasts from analytical agencies, inflation is expected to remain at the previous level of 3.1%. However, the consensus forecast suggests an increase to 3.2%. An inflation rise would slow down the process of considering a scenario for easing monetary policy sooner, which could support the value of the U.S. currency.
Buyers face resistance at the 1.1000 level, approaching which could lead to an increase in short positions. In this scenario, the quote might return below the 1.0950 mark. Nevertheless, a sustained stabilization of the price above the 1.1000 level, at least on a four-hour chart, could contribute to further growth of the euro. This price move would indicate a recovery of the euro's value after a correction cycle.
From a technical analysis standpoint, the tactic of working based on a lateral channel is divided into two stages: rebound and breakout. The first stage involves temporary fluctuation, which ultimately leads to the accumulation of trading forces and transition to the second stage. The breakout method represents the main stage, which can lead to subsequent price movement.
The candlestick chart type is white and black graphic rectangles with lines above and below. With a detailed analysis of each individual candle, you can see its characteristics relative to a particular time frame: opening price, closing price, intraday high and low.
Horizontal levels are price coordinates, relative to which a price may stop or reverse its trajectory. In the market, these levels are called support and resistance.
Circles and rectangles are highlighted examples where the price reversed in history. This color highlighting indicates horizontal lines that may put pressure on the asset's price in the future.
The up/down arrows are landmarks of the possible price direction in the future.
在我上午的分析中,我強調了1.3545這一水平並計劃基於這一點位來做出交易決策。讓我們看看5分鐘的圖表發生了什麼。
在我上午的預測中,我強調了1.1374這個水平,並計劃根據該點位做出交易決策。讓我們看看5分鐘的圖表以分析發生的情況。
週一,英鎊/美元匯率達到1.3580——這是英鎊三年多以來從未見過的高度。如我們之前所說,英鎊此次的上漲只能歸因於唐納德·特朗普。
英鎊/美元貨幣對週一也呈上漲走勢,儘管在交易日中有所回調。這次回調發生在宣布歐盟關稅上調日期從6月1日推遲至7月9日之後。
在我上午的預測中,我將1.1416水平作為做出交易決策的關鍵區域。讓我們來看一下五分鐘圖表,並分析發生了什麼。
週五,EUR/USD 貨幣對在短暫回調後從1.1267水平反彈,並繼續其上升趨勢。趨勢線顯示上升趨勢依舊完好,美元似乎再次無故跌入深淵。
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