The currency pair is trading in the red at 1.2690 at the time of writing. It moves sideways in the short term, that's why we have to wait for new trading opportunities. Technically, the price action signaled exhausted buyers, but a new leg down needs strong confirmation.
Fundamentally, the USD's current growth is natural after the US Prelim GDP and Prelim GDP Price Index came in better than expected yesterday. Today, the US Unemployment Claims could be reported higher at 219K above 209K in the previous reporting period, Core PCE Price Index should report a 0.2% growth, Chicago PMI could jump to 46.0 points, while Pending Home Sales is expected to report a 1.9% drop. Positive US data should boost the greenback which could dominate the currency market.
As you can see on the H1 chart, the rate is trapped between 1.2714 and 1.2672 levels. It has failed to take out the 1.2714 resistance indicating exhausted buyers.
Now, it has dropped below the uptrend line which represents a key dynamic support. The next downside obstacle is represented by 1.2672.
A bearish closure below 1.2672 activates more declines. This is seen as a selling signal.
週三,歐元/美元組合繼續上漲,並穩固在1.1320的50.0%斐波那契回檔位之上。因此,歐元可能繼續升值,走向下一個阻力區1.1374–1.1380。
在小時圖上,週三英鎊/美元對繼續上漲,該日收盤於接近1.3425水平。就在幾週前,還沒有跡象顯示美元會再次被拋售,但交易者對美中協議的樂觀情緒很快消退。
從美元/瑞士法郎(USD/CHF)主要貨幣對的4小時圖表中,我們可以看到一些有趣的信息,首先是USD/CHF的價格走勢與隨機指標(Stochastic Oscillator)之間出現了背離,其次出現了看跌123形態,隨後伴隨著幾個看跌的羅斯鉤。基於這些數據,我們可以看出USD/CHF目前仍受到賣方的壓力,即便有加強修正的潛力,但只要未突破並收於0.8365關口之上,USD/CHF將繼續走弱至0.8185作為其主要目標,及0.8085作為下一目標。
周三,歐元成功穩定於1.1266水平和均衡指標線之上。下一個目標水平是1.1420和1.1535。
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