藍線-斐波納契回撤水平
美元指數在102.86附近交易,此前曾低至102.44。符合預期,美元指數已達到整體上升的61.8%的斐波納契回撤水平。通常在該回撤水平處,我們可以看到趨勢反轉。目前,美元指數正在反彈回撤水平。從技術面上看,價格持續創造較低的低點和較低的高點,趨勢仍然看跌。在目前水平上,我更偏向於保持中立或看漲。RSI已經達到超賣水平,再加上我們正在61.8%回撤水平附近交易,趨勢反轉的可能性增加了。
昨日來自德國的數據超出預期。三月份的工業生產增加了3.0%,而此前預測為0.9%,二月份則下降了1.3%。
預計歐元/英鎊貨幣對將逆轉其下行趨勢並開始上漲。自4月11日以來的楔形下降顯然具有調整結構,並且這一下行走勢已顯示出首次疲軟和觸底的跡象。
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