10.05.2019 01:47 AM
随着美国和中国之间不断增长的贸易战压力超过了由于美国石油储备意外下降而导致的上行压力，石油价格越来越便宜。布伦特原油价格每桶69.72美元，西德克萨斯中质原油（WTI）下跌65美分，每桶61.43美元，下跌69美分。对美国与中国之间持续贸易争端的担忧正在给石油市场带来压力。它们使全球增长的前景变暗，从而影响了对石油的需求。美国总统唐纳德特朗普表示，如果没有达成协议，中国将面临严苛的关税。
另一方面，随着全球平衡收紧，石油市场仍然具有建设性，供应方面的潜在风险仍然存在。由于欧佩克+交易产量减少导致供应短缺的迹象，价格得到一定支撑。回想一下，布伦特和WTI今年的增长率都超过了30％。美国对欧佩克成员国 - 委内瑞拉和伊朗的制裁也削弱了供应。美国石油储备的意外下降也限制了价格的下跌。由于预期市场环境趋紧，巴克莱在第三季度将布伦特和WTI的价格预测分别上调4美元至每桶74美元和67美元。
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