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10.05.2019 02:12 AM
在世界面临贸易战时,日元将会上涨

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在美国和中国之间的贸易冲突升级中,日元迅速上涨。由于担心全球两大经济体之间的摩擦可能升级,投资者选择安全避风港,该货币兑美元汇率已经升至3个月新高。周四华盛顿将开始为期两天的贸易谈判,贸易商担心中美谈判代表是否能够挽救这笔交易,以防止进一步关税增加。

总的来说,尽管贸易战中出现新的攻击,外汇市场的波动仍然相当低沉,但在政治不稳定时期需求的日元升值表明投资者开始失去紧张情绪。紧张局势升级的主要"受害者"是澳元和美元,以及离岸人民币。与此同时,前景黯淡。双方不太可能就这两天的贸易协议达成一致,而且最有可能的是,美国将在周五征收关税。值得注意的是,与之前的升级事件不同,当美元受益时,目前提高中国进口关税的威胁促使市场策略师关注对华盛顿的破坏性影响。

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冲突升级的前景导致日元升值,这将在未来几天继续。 该货币兑美元汇率上涨0.3%至109,640日元,本月上涨超过1%。 根据商品期货交易委员会(Commodity Futures Trading Commission)的最新数据,交易商进一步提高了净多头美元利率,包括兑日元。 特朗普说,如果北京"不停止欺骗美国代表",中国在会谈中"打破了协议",并发誓要引入新的关税。

Irina Maksimova,
Analytical expert of InstaTrade
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