Gold found support just below $1,530 per ounce on Tuesday with dips in early Asia limited to $1,532 before a rally to the $1,545 area ahead of Wednesday's New York open. Silver still finds strong support on dips with 18-month highs close to $18.50 per ounce on Wednesday.
There are strong expectations that the ECB will launch an aggressive monetary stimulus package at the 12th policy meeting in September with Vice President de Guindos calling on the bank to act with determination.
German bond yields remain on negative territory across the curve with the 10-year yield at -0.60%.
There is also a strong likelihood that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates again at the September policy meeting with futures markets expecting at least a further 0.25% rate cut.
Confidence in the Federal Reserve has been damaged by persistent attacks on the central bank and Chair Powell by President Trump.
The US Administration approach to policy making will also be a key corrosive factor to dent sentiment on the US dollar.
Barring a breakthrough in US-China trade talks, underlying risk appetite is likely to remain fragile with strong underlying demand for precious metals.
European political factors will make a crucial impact with a fresh row erupting over Brexit as the UK government proposed suspending parliament for a month ahead of October 14th.
A lack of confidence in the US and European political prospects will also reinforce demand for precious metals while the euro's vulnerability will tend to weaken the shared currency rather than reverse gains.
Immediate technical resistance for silver is seen at near $18.70 with a medium-term target of $20.00 per ounce. Short-term silver support is likely to be on dips to $18.20 per ounce.
Initial gold resistance is expected at near $1,560 with a longer-term target of $1,600 per ounce and short-term support near $1,535.
美國美元仍然是人們關注的焦點,在「桌子的頭席」。它是對唐納德·特朗普的外交和貿易政策變化作出反應的第一種貨幣,促使其他貨幣也對此作出調整。
這一週只展示了一件事——圍繞唐納·川普和貿易戰的新聞流仍然是市場的主導因素,如果不是唯一的驅動因素。當然,川普並不是每天都在威脅新的關稅,貿易談判也不是每天都中止。
新事物往往是被遺忘的舊事物。隨著春天即將結束,那句早已被拋之腦後的口號“賣出美國”在市場上重新流行起來。
美元/日元貨幣對正經歷加劇的價格波動。在四月底時,該對大幅下滑,達到七個月低點139.90。
不合時宜的必要項目。眾議院已批准唐納·川普的減稅計劃。
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